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Modeling “Soft” Variables
When encountering system dynamics modeling for the first time, sharp-minded managers often ask, “How can you have any confidence in your model if you …
Clarifying Variables: Actual, Perceived, and Desired
One of the primary benefits of modeling with systems tools—whether causal loops or computer simulations—is the intense discussion it can generate around important variables …
Charting a Corporate Learning Strategy
Managers in many companies slay are struggling with one basic question: How do you actually create a learning organization? While the five disciplines described …
From Spreadsheets to System Dynamics Models
Decision-makers often turn to computer models when they face a problem too “big” to grasp all at once. Having the computer keep track of …
When Change Happens Suddenly, Dramatically, and Mercilessly
TEAM TIP Reinforcing loops can create momentum in either an advantageous or a detrimental direction. Look for harmful loops at work in your setting …
Rising from the Ashes of Digital
Ask three people who worked for Digital Equipment Corporation (Digital or DEC) what went wrong during the rise and fall of one of America’s …
Scenarios of the Future: The Urgent Case for Sustainability
I was in grade school when the original Limits to Growth (Universe Books, 1972) was published. The environmental consciousness that blossomed in the early …
Black-Belt Mastery of Mental Models
I recently got around to reading an influential book on …well, influence. Originally published in 1984, Robert Cialdini’s Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion (reprinted …